NFL Pick’off – Week 2

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Photo: Mark J. Rebilas, USA TODAY Sports

It’s Week 2 on the NFL docket which means it’s time for the age old tradition of jumping to conclusions based solely on one game (although the Dolphins & Bucs are yet to play).

For each Sunday’s games I make my selections “Straight-Up” (SU) and “Against The Spread” (ATS).

The team listed in bold is the straight up pick, where as the red +/- indicates the pick when including the Vegas line at the time of publication.

I’ll provide a brief sentence or two of nonsense or logic (depending on the outcome), for what led me to that choice.

I’ll be competing against Catch-22’s NFL Senior Editor (Mark Staniusz) throughout the season, and I will list his picks below.

Week 1 Results

Phil: 8-4 (SU) / 6-6 (ATS)

Mark: 8-4 (SU) / 5-7 (ATS)



Philadelphia @ Kansas City (-5.5)

After watching the Chiefs dismantle & embarrass the Patriots on opening night you almost have to ride with Andy Reid and the lads until they let us down. Chiefs rookie Kareem Hunt emerged as a new weapon for this already talent-laden offence. You’re thinking too hard, trust the process.

Arizona (-7) @ Indianapolis

Oh boy. The Cards looked awful against the Lions last week. The Colts looked even worse losing by 37 points to the Rams (you read that correctly). This is the shake-your-head bowl. Can’t see Arizona losing this one, no matter how hard they try.

Minnesota (+6) @ Pittsburgh

Vikings fans feeling good after picking apart a lousy Saints defense. Steelers won’t be quite as easy but this game stays close. Dare I say Minnesota flirts with winning this game until they find a way to lose it.

Cleveland (+8) @ Baltimore

I can’t believe I took the Bengals over the Ravens last week. It’s been gnawing at my mind like a beaver building a dam. I’m all in on the Ravens until they let me down. The Browns pulled off a back door cover last week against the Steelers. Me thinks lightening will strike twice in Maryland.

New England (-6.5) @ New Orleans

I don’t love the Pats in this spot. Something isn’t quite right with this game and my gambling sense is on high alert. Realistically, I don’t have the stones to take the Saints here. Patriots won’t fall to 0-2, but head warning if you’re expecting a blowout.

Chicago (+6.5) @ Tampa Bay

Bucs with the early bye week thanks to mother nature. The Bears proved frisky last week against the NFC Champs. I think the Bucs will control this game from the start, but let up late enough for the Bears to make this score respectable.

Buffalo @ Carolina (-7)

This game has push written all over it. No matter how you draw it up, the Carolina Cats will win by exactly 7 points. No team here exudes confidence, but at the end of the day, it’s still the Bills.

Tennessee @ Jacksonville (+1.5)

Welcome to the portion of the Pick’off where I jump to ridiculous conclusions after one game. The logical choice is the Titans, but do we really want to get burned two weeks in a row by Blake Bortles and the Jags?

N.Y. Jets @ Oakland (-13.5)

Beast Mode’s home debut: He’s coming home, he’s coming home. Tell the World he’s coming home.
Let the rain wash away all the pain of yesterday. He knows his kingdom awaits and they’ve forgiven his mistakes…

Miami (+3.5) @ L.A. Chargers

The Jeepers Creepers Bowl. When in doubt, take the home team to win and the visiting team to cover.

San Francisco @ Seattle (-14)

Betting against the Seahawks at home on a mediocre to sub-par team is like expecting to survive as you navigate a new planet riddled with Xenomorphs. Country roads, take me home, to the place I belong…

Washington (+2.5) @ L.A. Rams

This is probably a terrible idea. Then again, terrible ideas can turn into wise decisions faster than you can say “You like that?!”

Dallas (-2.5) @ Denver

The impending suspension of Zeke Elliot is a comic foray of legal rigmarole. What exactly is happening here? As far as gambling is concerned, if Zeke is starting, you ride with the Cowboys. Don’t complicate a simple formula.

Green Bay (+3) @ Atlanta

If I bet against the Packers they’ll win. If I bet on the Packers they’ll lose. It’s a weird formula that haunts me and goes back to 1991. I’d stay away from this game if I were you.

2017 Season: 8-4 (SU) / 6-6 (ATS)



Philadelphia @ Kansas City (-5.5)

Arizona (-7) @ Indianapolis

Minnesota (+6) @ Pittsburgh

Cleveland (+8) @ Baltimore

New England (-6.5) @ New Orleans

Chicago @ Tampa Bay (-6.5)

Buffalo (+7) @ Carolina

Tennessee (-1.5) @ Jacksonville

N.Y. Jets @ Oakland (-13.5)

Miami (+3.5) @ L.A. Chargers

San Francisco (+14) @ Seattle

Washington @ L.A. Rams (-2.5)

Dallas (-2.5) @ Denver

Green Bay @ Atlanta (-3)

2017 Season: 8-4 (SU) / 5-7 (ATS)


*All NFL point spreads from www.vegasinsider.com as of 11:45 (AM) EST


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Follow authors: @Phil_Jones2020 and @MarkStaniusz



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